Working Papers

Extracting Predictive Value from Off-target Shots in Soccer
Ethan Baron, Timothy Chan, Devin Pleuler, and Nathan Sandholtz
In preparation
[talk]

An Inverse Optimization Analysis of the Fourth Down Decision in Football
Nathan Sandholtz, Lucas Wu, Martin Puterman, and Timothy Chan
In preparation
[talk]

Refereed Publications

Inverse Bayesian Optimization: Learning Human Acquisition Functions in an Exploration vs Exploitation Search Task
Nathan Sandholtz, Yohsuke Miyamoto, Luke Bornn, and Maurice Smith
Bayesian Analysis, 2022
[BA] [arxiv] [code]

Measuring Spatial Allocative Efficiency
Nathan Sandholtz, Jacob Mortensen, and Luke Bornn
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2020
[JQAS] [arxiv] [code] [talk]

Markov Decision Processes with Dynamic Transition Probabilities: An Analysis of Shooting Strategies In Basketball
Nathan Sandholtz and Luke Bornn
Annals of Applied Statistics, 2020
[AoAS[arxiv] [code] [talk]

Other Publications

Chuckers: Measuring Lineup Shot Distribution Optimality Using Spatial Allocative Efficiency Models

Nathan Sandholtz, Jacob Mortensen, and Luke Bornn

Proceedings of the 13th MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, 2019

[pdf] [code]

Replaying the NBA

Nathan Sandholtz and Luke Bornn

Proceedings of the 12th MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, 2018

[pdf] [code]

Hate crime victimization, 2003-2011

Nathan Sandholtz, Lynn Langton, and Mike Planty

US Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics, 2013

[pdf